the next holiday where we'd get a bump is mothers day may 8th which would effect the chart ending May 21st for next weeks sales I'm guessing somewhere between 5.5k-6.5k
It won't. By that time, the album will dive lower, Carrie will not be performing, and "Remind Me" will still be yet to release, and the album would have sold a little more to lower the boost. But I guess we can hope.
Not impossible, and Itunes only counts for a very small percentage of the overall weekly sales... No more than 20-30 percent. Counting both digital and physical copies, the later of which we have no way to track, I think we'll be closer to 10,000... I'd say 7,000-10,000.
Yes, but is it realistic to think that all the people went to buy physical copies instead of digital, espcially when stocks is low? Digital albums don't count for too much, but it could be reflective of what the other chains are doing in selling the CD. And going this coming week, the #2-selling album will actually be selling fewer than 40000 copies (Britney Spears' "Femme Fatale"), so do you think it's really realistic to expect her to go so high? It's so obvious that post-Easter sales is indeed pretty ugly. And ever if the sales level remains the same as last week (which won't happen), it would take her back to the Top 40, which means a more than 120 positions jump on the album tally. Is it really possible under this circumstance?
Then again, it was the Easter week, so she's already got some boost already, she would be lucky to even have any increase, which I think she will, but a much smaller one.
Sometimes I think Carrie fans really do not check charts frequent enough to make realistic estimations. But I guess very soon we'll know who's right.
