Weekly Album Sales, Blown Away Era, Week 32

[Manchs]

Eggnog! Presents! Cookies! More Eggog!

That's what it sounds like in our heads these days, but we may as well go on pretending to work while the boss is around.

Hey, here's an idea: You ask us about next week's likely sales numbers, and we'll pretend to know something about that.

O.N.I.F.C., the very latest offering from Atlantic's Wiz Khalifa, is on course to sell somewhere in the 135-145k range, making it a contender for #1 next week against chart stalwarts Rod Stewart (Verve) and Taylor Swift (Big Machine).

How will the week's other new releases stack up? We're glad you asked. RCA's Ke$ha should be able to afford plenty of whiskey-flavored toothpaste with an 80-85k bow, while Big Machine/Republic country beau hunks Florida Georgia Line chug into the holidays with a 50-55k debut.

HITS Daily Double: News

 

[opry051008]

HITS Daily Double: News

With Florida Georgia Line so high up on iTunes, I thought they would debut higher.

 

[clh_hilary]

Wiz Khalifa's "O.N.I.F.C." album will be the highest debut on next week's Billboard 200 chart -- but it might not be No. 1.

Industry sources are forecasting the set to sell between 135,000 to 145,000 copies by the end of the tracking week on Sunday, Dec. 9. That might not be enough to capture the top slot though, asTaylor Swift's "Red" and Rod Stewart's "Merry Christmas, Baby," are both challenging Khalifa for No. 1. We'll have a better idea on how Swift and Stewart are selling later this week.

The new Billboard 200 chart's top 10 will be revealed on the morning of Wednesday, Dec. 12.

Most holiday albums should see big gains on the chart next week, after the market adjusts itself after the post-Thanksgiving week slump. Thus, both Stewart and Michael Buble's 2011 "Christmas" album (which returned to the top 10 this week) are due to earn large increases.

"O.N.I.F.C." is Khalifa's second studio effort, and follows his "Rolling Papers" debut in early 2011. That album launched at No. 2 with 197,000 sold according to Nielsen SoundScan, thanks in part to the success of his No. 1 Billboard Hot 100 single "Black and Yellow." The new album, however, doesn't have a hit quite that popular yet. Its current single, "Remember You" (featuring the Weeknd), rises 98-82 on the Hot 100. It follows "Work Hard, Play Hard," which hit No. 17 back in May.

Other albums aiming for sizable bows next week include Ke$ha's "Warrior" and Florida Georgia Line's "Here's to the Good Times." The former is tracking to move about 80,000 while the latter should sell 50,000.

Wiz Khalifa Set for Highest Debut on Billboard 200 Chart | Billboard

 

[TOPDOG1001]

YOUR TOP 15: Taylor Swift is no stranger to the #1 chart position, and she'll be returning to that familiar perch next week, with Wiz Khalifa and the holiday-suave Rod Stewart duking it out for #2. Here's how things look as the weekend beckons:
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 155-165k
* Wiz Khalifa (Atlantic) 135-45k
Rod Stewart (Verve) 135-145k
Michael Buble (Reprise) 100-110k
One Direction (Syco/Columbia) 95-105k
* Ke$ha (Kemosabe/RCA) 85-90k
Blake Shelton (Warner Bros. Nashville) 75-80k
Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville) 70-75k
Alicia Keys (RCA) 70-75k
Phillip Phillips (19/Interscope) 65-70k
Rihanna (Def Jam/IDJ) 60-65k
Now 44 (Capitol) 55-60k
* Florida Georgia Line (Big Machine/Republic) 50-55k
Scotty McCreery (Mercury Nashville/19/Interscope) 50-55k
Kid Rock (Atlantic) 40-45k
Jason Aldean (Broken Bow) 40-45k
Mumford & Sons (Glassnote) 40-45k
* Debuts
There sure are a lot of records in the Top 15 next week. Now if you'll excuse us, there's a gallon of eggnog with our name on it. (12/6p)

HITS Daily Double: Rumor Mill

 

[clh_hilary]

Sales are indeed rather low this year...Goddess lucks out to sneak another week into #1.

 

[SodaFlop]

SWSRN needs to be removed from country charts altogether. There is like 5 country songs on RED. No disrespect to her, but it's clear she is no longer a country artist, even in the slightest.

 

[cary78663]

31.77% and BA is at 9,176.

 

[JB172]

Blake, Lady A and Scotty are all doing very well with their Christmas albums.

 

[gaycarebear]

31.77% and BA is at 9,176.

That is such an amazing number to see already.

Hmm. Maybe she'll do around 20-25k? *fingers crossed*

 

[TOPDOG1001]

Tough to make predictions given they have different %'s each week, but I'm hoping around 30k (give or take) this week, given that Aldean is expected 40-45k.

 

[opry051008]

I won't be surprised if the % jumps to 50 something percent or maybe even 70 something percent and see no change in Carrie's sales numbers until the final as has been the recent pattern. Keeping us guessing until the final numbers are released.

 

[teesharky]

With Carrie's Grammy nom shown on tv, I was wondering if she might get a little sales buzz this week.

Also, Christmas shopping is in high gear so this should be a decent week.

 

[clh_hilary]

I think Carrie should be getting an increase this week as Christmas is approaching, but I doubt the Grammy Nomination Concert helped. The nomination itself should have helped a little but the show didn't have a high rating.

 

[snoopytan86]

possible for BA to get 30k sale this week?

 

[pklongbeach]

We have to pray that stores are stocking the product.
TS can not sell 150,000 without a ton of product on the shelves.
And Carrie can not sell 50,000 with only one copy left on the shelves.

 

[clh_hilary]

We have to pray that stores are stocking the product.
TS can not sell 150,000 without a ton of product on the shelves.
And Carrie can not sell 50,000 with only one copy left on the shelves.

She could because people can buy albums digitally or online and order albums from stores.

 

[robinannhunt]

She could because people can buy albums digitally or online and order albums from stores.

Not all her fans are tween girls so that doesn't help Carrie too much.

 

[Schrodinger]

Not all her fans are tween girls so that doesn't help Carrie too much.

Hey I'm not a tween & I buy everything digitaly:.music, books, audio books, pizza.... Well digital pizza is not that good, one byte and you'll wish you had.'t bit into it.

Sent from my HTC One X using Tapatalk 2

 

[Daraebe]

CHART DATE: 12/10/2012
LAST UPDATE: 12/11/2012 13:01:43
NOW IN: FINAL

LW TW artist / album label power index % change
2 1 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 170,656 +26%
RED
-- 2 WIZ KHALIFA ATLANTIC 131,213 --
O.N.I.F.C.
3 3 ROD STEWART VERVE 126,663 +6%
MERRY CHRISTMAS BABY
4 4 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 105,456 +20%
TAKE ME HOME
7 5 MICHAEL BUBLE REPRISE 96,055 +47%
CHRISTMAS
-- 6 KE$HA KEMOSABE/RCA 85,632 --
WARRIOR
1 7 ALICIA KEYS RCA 75,760 -53%
GIRL ON FIRE
5 8 PHILLIP PHILLIPS 19/INTERSCOPE 65,920 -16%
WORLD FROM THE SIDE OF THE MOON
8 9 LADY ANTEBELLUM CAPITOL NASHVILLE 63,558 +15%
ON THIS WINTER'S NIGHT
9 10 BLAKE SHELTON WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 63,064 +30%
CHEERS, IT'S CHRISTMAS
-- 11 FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE BIG MACHINE/REPUBLIC 61,535 --
HERE'S TO THE GOOD TIMES
6 12 RIHANNA DEF JAM/IDJ 59,503 -18%
UNAPOLOGETIC
10 13 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 44 CAPITOL 56,029 +31%
VARIOUS ARTISTS
16 14 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 45,740 +41%
BABEL
17 15 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 43,634 +40%
NIGHT TRAIN
12 16 SCOTTY MCCREERY MERC NASH/19/INTERSCOPE 43,512 +7%
CHRISTMAS WITH SCOTTY
15 17 LED ZEPPELIN ATLANTIC 41,849 +26%
CELEBRATION DAY
28 18 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJ 41,379 +83%
BELIEVE
11 19 KID ROCK ATLANTIC 40,789 -4%
REBEL SOUL
13 20 P!NK RCA 35,312 -10%
TRUTH ABOUT LOVE
23 21 LITTLE BIG TOWN CAPITOL NASHVILLE 35,023 +43%
TORNADO
27 22 MAROON 5 A&M/OCTONE 33,262 +47%
OVEREXPOSED
21 23 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 33,173 +29%
21
33 24 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 32,953 +61%
UP ALL NIGHT
20 25 CARRIE UNDERWOOD 19/ARISTA NASHVILLE 31,534 +20%
BLOWN AWAY
19 26 LUMINEERS DUALTONE 29,530 +7%
LUMINEERS
14 27 KEYSHIA COLE GEFFEN 28,311 -16%
WOMAN TO WOMAN
-- 28 ANDRE BOCELLI VERVE 27,861 --
MY CHRISTMAS
32 29 TRANS-SIBERIAN ORCHESTRA LAVA/REPUBLIC 26,082 +25%
DREAMS OF FIREFLIES
48 30 LUKE BRYAN CAPITOL NASHVILLE 26,027 +96%
TAILGATES & TANLINES
18 31 KENDRICK LAMAR AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 25,858 -8%
GOOD KID M.A.A.D CITY
35 32 CEE LO GREEN NEW ELEKTRA 25,579 +39%
CEE LO'S MAGIC MOMENT
40 33 HUNTER HAYES ATLANTIC 24,877 +60%
HUNTER HAYES
29 34 JOSH GROBAN REPRISE 24,573 +14%
NOEL
25 35 SUSAN BOYLE SYCO/COLUMBIA 22,219 -7%
STANDING OVATION: THE GREATEST
38 36 FUN. FUELED BY RAMEN 21,694 +37%
SOME NIGHTS
22 37 KELLY CLARKSON 19/RCA 21,034 -17%
GREATEST HITS - CHAPTER 1
44 38 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJ 21,017 +52%
UNDER THE MISTLETOE
-- 39 ERIC CHURCH CAPITOL NASHVILLE 20,484 --
CHIEF
39 40 ROLLING STONES UME 19,360 +24%
GRRR! GREATEST HITS
31 41 TWILIGHT SAGA: BREAKING DAWN 2 CHOP SHOP/ATLANTIC 18,357 -14%
SOUNDTRACK
37 42 IMAGINE DRAGONS INTERSCOPE 18,177 +14%
NIGHT VISIONS
43 43 ZAC BROWN BAND ATLANTIC 16,764 +18%
UNCAGED
34 44 PITBULL POLO GROUNDS/RCA 16,480 -13%
GLOBAL WARMING
-- 45 OF MONSTERS & MEN REPUBLIC 16,096 --
MY HEAD IS AN ANIMAL
-- 46 ED SHEERAN NEW ELEKTRA 15,595 --
-- 47 CELTIC WOMAN MANHATTAN 15,558 --
HOME FOR CHRISTMAS
-- 48 MANNHEIM STEAMROLLER AMERICAN GRAMAPHONE 14,679 --
CHRISTMAS SYMPHONY
41 49 CHRISTINA AGUILERA RCA 14,481 0%
LOTUS
45 50 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 14,079 +4%
SIGH NO MORE

 

[Manchs]

One word: slayage.